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Red104
58736.1
172023.1
276748.6
Blue118
102343.2
492632.1
173033.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119109050150200250104118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.60.4
51.350.9
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End10.7
red by 5.4
1023
#16
43.21.0
35.736.6
Auto9.0
Teleop28.5
End5.7
Second
587
#14
36.10.4
38.337.9
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End10.3
red by 2.5
1730
#22
33.71.0
34.135.1
Auto7.3
Teleop17.4
End9.0
Third
1720
#42
23.10.4
20.720.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.8
blue by 9.0
4926
#18
32.11.0
33.734.7
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsEarned