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Red154
170648.5
205658.5
548429.3
Blue84
233832.3
153342.2
745740.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15012505010020025030015484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.51.1
57.858.8
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
red by 16.2
1533
#21
42.22.7
41.939.2
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End7.4
Second
48.51.1
48.349.4
Auto11.6
Teleop31.1
End5.8
red by 7.7
7457
#33
40.72.7
42.339.6
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End10.5
Third
5484
#37
29.31.1
31.832.9
Auto9.6
Teleop10.0
End9.7
blue by 3.0
2338
#46
32.32.7
36.734.0
Auto9.3
Teleop10.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned