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Red99
69436.7
102428.9
23424.8
Blue102
207541.5
82927.2
50340.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9812905015020025099102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#30
36.70.1
40.440.3
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End7.3
blue by 4.9
2075
#29
41.51.6
43.341.7
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End5.6
Second
1024
#41
28.90.1
31.131.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.9
End8.9
blue by 11.0
503
#19
40.01.6
45.744.2
Auto11.0
Teleop16.8
End12.1
Third
234
#45
24.80.1
24.824.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.4
blue by 2.4
829
#38
27.21.6
28.326.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned