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Red122
501022.5
463541.2
317528.4
Blue136
540641.7
34041.0
11842.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98143050200250122136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#20
41.21.1
42.243.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.9
End7.3
blue by 0.7
118
#11
42.00.3
43.844.1
Auto8.1
Teleop22.7
End11.1
Second
3175
#24
28.41.1
27.428.5
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End2.3
blue by 13.3
5406
#13
41.70.3
43.243.5
Auto13.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
Third
5010
#43
22.51.1
28.029.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.7
End7.0
blue by 18.5
340
#15
41.00.3
40.540.8
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsMissed98%Hangar oddsEarned