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Red150
11842.0
207541.5
335738.5
Blue134
173033.7
540641.7
6753.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13414950100200150134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#11
42.01.0
44.145.1
Auto8.1
Teleop22.7
End11.1
blue by 11.3
67
#36
53.30.3
59.259.0
Auto12.3
Teleop30.1
End10.9
Second
2075
#29
41.51.0
41.742.7
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End5.6
blue by 0.2
5406
#13
41.70.3
43.543.3
Auto13.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
Third
3357
#28
38.51.0
40.841.9
Auto8.7
Teleop19.5
End10.3
red by 4.9
1730
#22
33.70.3
35.134.8
Auto7.3
Teleop17.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned