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Red112
463541.2
34041.0
23424.8
Blue129
261433.2
205658.5
317528.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112140050200250300112129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#20
41.20.2
43.343.5
Auto8.0
Teleop25.9
End7.3
blue by 17.3
58.50.7
58.858.1
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
Second
340
#15
41.00.2
40.841.0
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End9.6
red by 7.8
2614
#47
33.20.7
40.539.8
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End8.6
Third
234
#45
24.80.2
24.724.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.4
blue by 3.6
3175
#24
28.40.7
28.527.8
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned