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Red125
394037.0
236340.5
170648.5
Blue185
353848.8
102343.2
18052.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431370100200300400500125185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.3
49.448.0
Auto11.6
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 3.8
180
#3
52.23.4
49.653.0
Auto12.1
Teleop32.3
End7.8
Second
2363
#25
40.51.3
43.442.0
Auto12.4
Teleop23.8
End4.3
blue by 8.3
3538
#10
48.83.4
43.546.9
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End10.8
Third
3940
#34
37.01.3
40.539.1
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
blue by 6.2
1023
#16
43.23.4
36.640.0
Auto9.0
Teleop28.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned