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Red114
540641.7
32520.4
198739.6
Blue124
205658.5
19539.5
173033.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116141050100200250114124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#13
41.70.4
43.342.8
Auto13.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
blue by 16.7
58.50.4
58.157.7
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
Second
1987
#32
39.60.4
41.240.7
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End6.4
red by 0.1
195
#5
39.50.4
36.536.2
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End11.1
Third
325
#39
20.40.4
27.827.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End4.3
blue by 13.3
1730
#22
33.70.4
34.834.4
Auto7.3
Teleop17.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned