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Red170
11842.0
102343.2
3349.8
Blue102
492632.1
261433.2
82927.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145103050200250170102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
49.82.6
45.348.0
Auto12.2
Teleop26.0
End11.6
red by 16.6
2614
#47
33.20.3
39.839.5
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End8.6
Second
1023
#16
43.22.6
40.042.7
Auto9.0
Teleop28.5
End5.7
red by 11.1
4926
#18
32.10.3
35.234.9
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End9.6
Third
118
#11
42.02.6
45.147.8
Auto8.1
Teleop22.7
End11.1
red by 14.7
829
#38
27.20.3
27.126.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned