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Red86
50340.0
23424.8
173244.7
Blue120
409929.6
353848.8
463541.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201305010015020086120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#17
44.72.1
45.243.1
Auto11.8
Teleop24.9
End8.0
blue by 4.1
3538
#10
48.80.0
46.946.9
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End10.8
Second
503
#19
40.02.1
43.541.4
Auto11.0
Teleop16.8
End12.1
blue by 1.2
4635
#20
41.20.0
43.543.5
Auto8.0
Teleop25.9
End7.3
Third
234
#45
24.82.1
24.922.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.4
blue by 4.9
4099
#40
29.60.0
30.029.9
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsEarned