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Red102
317626.3
69436.7
233832.3
Blue77
501022.5
18052.2
62444.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10714805020025010277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#30
36.70.5
40.640.1
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End7.3
blue by 15.6
180
#3
52.24.0
53.049.0
Auto12.1
Teleop32.3
End7.8
Second
2338
#46
32.30.5
33.633.1
Auto9.3
Teleop10.5
End12.5
blue by 12.4
624
#44
44.84.0
51.447.4
Auto14.2
Teleop21.1
End9.4
Third
3176
#48
26.30.5
31.330.8
Auto10.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.4
red by 3.8
5010
#43
22.54.0
28.724.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsMissed100%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned