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Red110
69436.7
246840.7
11842.0
Blue154
198739.6
745740.7
172023.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14597050200250110154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#11
42.01.5
47.646.0
Auto8.1
Teleop22.7
End11.1
red by 1.2
7457
#33
40.73.0
38.841.8
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End10.5
Second
2468
#12
40.71.5
41.840.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.9
End11.7
red by 1.2
1987
#32
39.63.0
40.643.6
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End6.4
Third
694
#30
36.71.5
39.938.3
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End7.3
red by 13.6
1720
#42
23.13.0
17.720.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
99%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned