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Red43
23424.8
317626.3
261433.2
Blue150
6753.3
58736.1
335738.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9315205020025043150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#47
33.23.4
39.936.5
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End8.6
blue by 20.0
67
#36
53.30.4
56.356.7
Auto12.3
Teleop30.1
End10.9
Second
3176
#48
26.33.4
30.627.2
Auto10.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.4
blue by 12.2
3357
#28
38.50.4
40.240.6
Auto8.7
Teleop19.5
End10.3
Third
234
#45
24.83.4
24.020.6
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.4
blue by 11.3
587
#14
36.10.4
39.139.6
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsMissed99%Hangar oddsEarned