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Red114
501022.5
82927.2
2752.1
Blue145
402842.0
19539.5
463541.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112137050100150200114145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#7
52.10.4
56.256.6
Auto11.5
Teleop29.2
End11.5
red by 10.1
4028
#27
42.01.3
43.745.0
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.6
Second
829
#38
27.20.4
27.327.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End8.0
blue by 14.0
4635
#20
41.21.3
43.244.5
Auto8.0
Teleop25.9
End7.3
Third
5010
#43
22.50.4
24.524.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.7
End7.0
blue by 16.9
195
#5
39.51.3
38.339.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned