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Red98
69436.7
409929.6
414339.2
Blue115
540641.7
335738.5
153342.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11613405010015020025030098115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#31
39.20.9
41.941.0
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0
blue by 3.1
1533
#21
42.20.9
42.141.2
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End7.4
Second
694
#30
36.70.9
38.337.4
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End7.3
blue by 5.1
5406
#13
41.70.9
41.140.3
Auto13.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
Third
4099
#40
29.60.9
31.230.3
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End6.8
blue by 8.9
3357
#28
38.50.9
40.639.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.5
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned