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Red144
246840.7
18052.2
745740.7
Blue128
133944.1
23424.8
102343.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146108050200250300144128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
52.20.2
50.650.8
Auto12.1
Teleop32.3
End7.8
red by 8.1
44.11.2
45.146.3
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End10.6
Second
2468
#12
40.70.2
40.240.5
Auto7.1
Teleop21.9
End11.7
blue by 2.5
1023
#16
43.21.2
40.541.7
Auto9.0
Teleop28.5
End5.7
Third
7457
#33
40.70.2
41.842.0
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End10.5
red by 15.9
234
#45
24.81.2
20.621.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned