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Red115
19539.5
353848.8
207541.5
Blue160
205658.5
402842.0
58736.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133153050100200250115160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#10
48.80.8
47.746.9
Auto10.1
Teleop27.9
End10.8
blue by 9.6
58.51.0
56.857.8
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
Second
2075
#29
41.50.8
39.939.1
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End5.6
blue by 0.5
4028
#27
42.01.0
45.046.0
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.6
Third
195
#5
39.50.8
39.638.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End11.1
red by 3.4
587
#14
36.11.0
39.640.5
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned