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Red115
50340.0
317528.4
236340.5
Blue104
82927.2
3349.8
317626.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119110050150200250300115104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#25
40.50.0
41.641.7
Auto12.4
Teleop23.8
End4.3
blue by 9.3
33
#1
49.80.3
49.949.6
Auto12.2
Teleop26.0
End11.6
Second
503
#19
40.00.0
41.741.7
Auto11.0
Teleop16.8
End12.1
red by 12.7
829
#38
27.20.3
27.727.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End8.0
Third
3175
#24
28.40.0
27.127.1
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End2.3
red by 2.1
3176
#48
26.30.3
27.226.8
Auto10.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned