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Red109
426535.9
261433.2
571239.6
Blue131
276748.6
170648.5
501022.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115133050100150200109131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#23
39.60.1
39.339.2
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End8.8
blue by 8.9
48.60.1
49.149.1
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End10.7
Second
4265
#35
35.90.1
34.134.1
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End1.9
blue by 12.6
48.50.1
48.348.3
Auto11.6
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Third
2614
#47
33.20.1
36.536.4
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End8.6
red by 10.7
5010
#43
22.50.1
24.924.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned