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Red127
172023.1
571239.6
540641.7
Blue116
402842.0
173244.7
261433.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104137050150200250127116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#13
41.71.1
40.341.4
Auto13.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
blue by 3.0
1732
#17
44.70.6
42.041.5
Auto11.8
Teleop24.9
End8.0
Second
5712
#23
39.61.1
39.240.4
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End8.8
blue by 2.4
4028
#27
42.00.6
46.045.4
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.6
Third
1720
#42
23.11.1
22.323.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.8
blue by 10.1
2614
#47DQ
33.20.6
36.435.8
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned