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Red114
2752.1
11842.0
58736.1
Blue111
62444.8
414339.2
317528.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156115050100200250114111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#7
52.12.0
57.755.6
Auto11.5
Teleop29.2
End11.5
red by 7.3
624
#44
44.80.4
46.546.1
Auto14.2
Teleop21.1
End9.4
Second
118
#11
42.02.0
43.041.0
Auto8.1
Teleop22.7
End11.1
red by 2.8
4143
#31
39.20.4
39.439.0
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Third
587
#14
36.12.0
40.038.0
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End10.3
red by 7.7
3175
#24
28.40.4
26.826.4
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsMissed