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Red131
173244.7
571239.6
102343.2
Blue149
34041.0
198739.6
69436.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412450100150200131149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#17
44.70.2
41.541.6
Auto11.8
Teleop24.9
End8.0
red by 3.7
340
#15
41.01.3
38.439.7
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End9.6
Second
1023
#16
43.20.2
42.742.8
Auto9.0
Teleop28.5
End5.7
red by 3.6
1987
#32
39.61.3
41.042.2
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End6.4
Third
5712
#23
39.60.2
40.440.5
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End8.8
red by 3.0
694
#30
36.71.3
38.439.7
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned