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Red75
32520.4
233832.3
261433.2
Blue116
745740.7
69436.7
402842.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9014205020075116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#47
33.21.3
35.634.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End8.6
blue by 8.8
4028
#27
42.01.3
45.243.9
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.6
Second
2338
#46
32.31.3
33.432.1
Auto9.3
Teleop10.5
End12.5
blue by 8.4
7457
#33
40.71.3
42.240.9
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End10.5
Third
325
#39
20.41.3
21.920.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End4.3
blue by 16.3
694
#30
36.71.3
39.738.4
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned99%Hangar oddsEarned