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Red140
133944.1
463541.2
540641.7
Blue121
492632.1
449948.4
394037.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14211750100200140121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.4
46.446.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End10.6
blue by 4.3
48.40.5
46.647.1
Auto9.1
Teleop28.1
End11.2
Second
5406
#13
41.70.4
40.540.9
Auto13.4
Teleop21.7
End6.6
red by 4.8
3940
#34
37.00.5
35.235.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
Third
4635
#20
41.20.4
43.643.9
Auto8.0
Teleop25.9
End7.3
red by 9.1
4926
#18
32.10.5
31.632.1
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsMissed91%Hangar oddsEarned