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Red128
335738.5
246840.7
426535.9
Blue140
170648.5
50340.0
34041.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11913750100150200128140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#12
40.70.7
41.642.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.9
End11.7
blue by 7.7
48.50.9
46.247.1
Auto11.6
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Second
3357
#28
38.50.7
38.339.0
Auto8.7
Teleop19.5
End10.3
blue by 2.5
340
#15
41.00.9
39.740.6
Auto9.9
Teleop21.5
End9.6
Third
4265
#35
35.90.7
34.034.6
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End1.9
blue by 4.1
503
#19
40.00.9
40.341.2
Auto11.0
Teleop16.8
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned