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Red108
102343.2
253932.8
548429.3
Blue109
501022.5
50340.0
205658.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110134050150200250108109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#16
43.20.7
42.842.1
Auto9.0
Teleop28.5
End5.7
blue by 15.3
58.51.2
58.257.0
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
Second
2539
#26
32.80.7
33.833.1
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.7
blue by 7.1
503
#19
40.01.2
41.240.0
Auto11.0
Teleop16.8
End12.1
Third
5484
#37
29.30.7
30.029.3
Auto9.6
Teleop10.0
End9.7
red by 6.8
5010
#43
22.51.2
23.822.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned