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Red136
18052.2
335738.5
19539.5
Blue150
173244.7
11842.0
276748.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140140110120130150160170136150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
52.20.4
51.250.7
Auto12.1
Teleop32.3
End7.8
red by 3.7
48.60.7
46.647.3
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End10.7
Second
195
#5
39.50.4
40.239.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End11.1
blue by 5.3
1732
#17
44.70.7
43.944.6
Auto11.8
Teleop24.9
End8.0
Third
3357
#28
38.50.4
39.038.5
Auto8.7
Teleop19.5
End10.3
blue by 3.4
118
#11
42.00.7
41.141.8
Auto8.1
Teleop22.7
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned99%Hangar oddsEarned