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Red115
261433.2
463541.2
198739.6
Blue122
414339.2
233832.3
207541.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271210200300400500600115122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#20
41.21.1
43.942.9
Auto8.0
Teleop25.9
End7.3
blue by 0.3
2075
#29
41.50.2
43.043.2
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End5.6
Second
1987
#32
39.61.1
40.639.6
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End6.4
red by 0.4
4143
#31
39.20.2
39.539.7
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Third
2614
#47
33.21.1
34.333.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End8.6
red by 0.9
2338
#46
32.30.2
32.132.3
Auto9.3
Teleop10.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned