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Red134
169069.8
157758.8
306516.4
Blue87
157436.9
571525.9
165722.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170785010015020025013487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.80.3
70.670.3
Auto17.1
Teleop41.4
End11.3
red by 32.9
1574
#10
36.90.0
36.736.7
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End8.6
Second
58.80.3
59.759.4
Auto15.0
Teleop32.7
End11.2
red by 32.9
25.90.0
25.725.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End8.9
Third
3065
#35
16.40.3
17.216.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End8.1
blue by 6.4
1657
#19
22.80.0
22.622.6
Auto7.0
Teleop6.0
End9.8