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Red124
169069.8
157758.8
306516.4
Blue93
157436.9
571525.9
165722.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168785010015020025012493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.80.5
70.369.8
Auto17.1
Teleop41.4
End11.3
red by 32.9
1574
#10
36.90.2
36.736.9
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End8.6
Second
58.80.5
59.458.8
Auto15.0
Teleop32.7
End11.2
red by 32.9
25.90.2
25.725.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End8.9
Third
3065
#35
16.40.5
16.916.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End8.1
blue by 6.4
1657
#19
22.80.2
22.622.8
Auto7.0
Teleop6.0
End9.8