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Red113
307535.7
263035.2
331628.6
Blue80
223129.9
598727.8
459026.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11486406010012014016018011380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#12
35.70.1
36.937.1
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End8.7
red by 5.8
2231
#17
29.90.1
30.029.9
Auto7.8
Teleop17.7
End4.4
Second
35.20.1
36.436.6
Auto11.1
Teleop17.1
End7.0
red by 7.4
27.80.1
27.927.8
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End10.0
Third
3316
#16
28.60.1
29.829.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
red by 2.4
4590
#21
26.20.1
26.326.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End9.7