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Red95
333945.8
706724.8
561428.4
Blue100
157436.9
571525.9
165722.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112866010012014016018095100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.2
46.646.4
Auto12.9
Teleop24.0
End8.9
red by 8.9
1574
#10
36.90.4
36.436.8
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End8.6
Second
5614
#22
28.40.2
29.329.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End6.7
red by 2.5
25.90.4
25.425.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End8.9
Third
24.80.2
25.725.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End11.0
red by 2.1
1657
#19
22.80.4
22.322.6
Auto7.0
Teleop6.0
End9.8