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Red70
331628.6
706724.8
703929.1
Blue69
474420.9
209624.9
563513.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846220401001201407069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
#14
29.10.7
24.824.2
Auto6.0
Teleop18.2
End4.9
red by 4.2
24.90.3
22.522.8
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
Second
3316
#16
28.60.7
25.925.2
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
red by 7.6
4744
#23
20.90.3
20.420.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End7.5
Third
24.80.7
25.124.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End11.0
red by 11.1
5635
#38
13.80.3
17.718.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned