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Red64
15809.7
307535.7
458625.8
Blue59
459026.2
383523.0
674020.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777140601001206459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#12
35.70.8
35.334.5
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End8.7
red by 9.5
4590
#21
26.20.8
24.523.7
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End9.7
Second
4586
#31
25.80.8
26.525.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.6
End11.2
red by 2.9
3835
#11
23.00.8
21.120.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End6.6
Third
1580
#34
9.70.8
9.68.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End3.1
blue by 10.8
6740
#25
20.50.8
21.620.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsEarned