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Red107
817516.4
157758.8
598727.8
Blue57
513520.8
223129.9
157436.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9278406010012014010757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.81.0
49.750.7
Auto15.0
Teleop32.7
End11.2
red by 21.9
1574
#10
36.91.2
29.027.8
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End8.6
Second
27.81.0
21.722.7
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End10.0
blue by 2.1
2231
#17
29.91.2
23.121.9
Auto7.8
Teleop17.7
End4.4
Third
8175
#27
16.41.0
12.813.8
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End4.6
blue by 4.5
5135
#26
20.81.2
22.621.4
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsEarned53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsMissed