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Red64
209624.9
822318.9
308315.7
Blue52
221216.2
321126.2
616815.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5643020801006452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.9
22.823.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
blue by 1.3
3211
#13
26.20.7
20.120.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End7.9
Second
8223
#30
18.90.9
14.815.7
Auto6.5
Teleop4.6
End7.7
red by 2.7
2212
#20
16.20.7
10.311.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End3.4
Third
3083
#33
15.70.9
13.614.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.6
End2.7
blue by 0.2
6168
#40
15.90.7
11.512.1
Auto6.7
Teleop4.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsEarned