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Red60
561428.4
610416.4
599010.7
Blue130
331628.6
333945.8
338826.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5686204010012014060130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#22
28.40.3
23.423.7
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End6.7
blue by 17.3
45.83.0
30.833.8
Auto12.9
Teleop24.0
End8.9
Second
6104
#32
16.40.3
17.617.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End5.7
blue by 12.2
3316
#16
28.63.0
25.228.3
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
Third
5990
#39
10.70.3
15.115.3
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End5.3
blue by 15.5
3388
#29
26.23.0
20.523.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed75%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed57%Hangar oddsEarned