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Red90
157436.9
610416.4
822318.9
Blue107
157758.8
706724.8
459026.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5811610015020090107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#10
36.91.9
27.729.6
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End8.6
blue by 21.9
58.80.1
53.253.2
Auto15.0
Teleop32.7
End11.2
Second
8223
#30
18.91.9
15.917.8
Auto6.5
Teleop4.6
End7.7
blue by 7.3
4590
#21
26.20.1
24.424.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End9.7
Third
6104
#32
16.41.9
18.119.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End5.7
blue by 8.5
24.80.1
24.224.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned