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Red89
433825.2
474420.9
595120.8
Blue94
784532.1
383523.0
599010.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6675204060801001208994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4338
#15
25.21.7
20.021.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End9.7
blue by 6.9
32.11.7
32.333.9
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End12.0
Second
4744
#23
20.91.7
21.022.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End7.5
blue by 2.0
3835
#11
23.01.7
21.523.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End6.6
Third
5951
#28
20.81.7
21.923.7
Auto8.0
Teleop8.1
End4.7
red by 10.2
5990
#39
10.71.7
15.316.9
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsEarned