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Red73
165722.8
263035.2
209624.9
Blue106
308315.7
333945.8
307535.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8394406012014016018073106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.4
32.131.7
Auto11.1
Teleop17.1
End7.0
blue by 10.6
45.80.7
37.037.8
Auto12.9
Teleop24.0
End8.9
Second
24.90.4
25.525.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
blue by 10.8
3075
#12
35.70.7
35.936.6
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End8.7
Third
1657
#19
22.80.4
22.021.5
Auto7.0
Teleop6.0
End9.8
red by 7.0
3083
#33
15.70.7
14.114.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsMissed78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned