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Red81
458625.8
321126.2
194314.7
Blue123
221216.2
817516.4
169069.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6211120408010012014016081123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#13
26.20.8
23.023.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End7.9
blue by 43.6
69.81.7
71.573.2
Auto17.1
Teleop41.4
End11.3
Second
4586
#31
25.80.8
26.627.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.6
End11.2
red by 9.5
8175
#27
16.41.7
15.016.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End4.6
Third
1943
#36
14.70.8
14.915.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End5.5
blue by 1.6
2212
#20
16.21.7
11.613.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned56%Hangar oddsMissed