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Red74
565429.4
338826.2
706724.8
Blue114
598727.8
674020.5
157436.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848360709010011012074114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#18
29.40.3
29.429.1
Auto10.4
Teleop12.3
End6.7
blue by 7.5
1574
#10
36.92.2
29.631.8
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End8.6
Second
3388
#29
26.20.3
25.324.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End5.4
blue by 1.6
27.82.2
25.327.5
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End10.0
Third
24.80.3
24.324.0
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End11.0
red by 4.4
6740
#25
20.52.2
22.724.9
Auto8.2
Teleop7.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned52%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned