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Red47
223014.9
610416.4
563513.8
Blue61
599010.7
513520.8
459026.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55722040801001204761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6104
#32
16.40.5
19.919.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End5.7
blue by 9.8
4590
#21
26.20.8
24.523.7
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End9.7
Second
2230
#37
14.90.5
17.216.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.8
End3.0
blue by 6.0
5135
#26
20.80.8
23.722.9
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End8.2
Third
5635
#38
13.80.5
16.716.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End7.6
red by 3.1
5990
#39
10.70.8
16.916.1
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed50%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsMissed