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Red79
513520.8
595120.8
383523.0
Blue79
599010.7
308315.7
306516.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72612040801001207979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3835
#11
23.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End6.6
red by 6.6
3065
#35
16.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End8.1
Second
5135
#26
20.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End8.2
red by 5.1
3083
#33
15.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Third
5951
#28
20.8
Auto8.0
Teleop8.1
End4.7
red by 10.2
5990
#39
10.7
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned