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Red69
563513.8
331628.6
321126.2
Blue85
817516.4
157436.9
703929.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76810501001506985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#16
28.60.2
29.429.2
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
blue by 8.3
1574
#10
36.90.4
32.332.6
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End8.6
Second
3211
#13
26.20.2
24.324.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End7.9
blue by 2.9
7039
#14
29.10.4
26.526.9
Auto6.0
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Third
5635
#38
13.80.2
18.318.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End7.6
blue by 2.6
8175
#27
16.40.4
16.717.1
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsMissed82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned56%Hangar oddsMissed