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Red58
333945.8
817516.4
616815.9
Blue72
561428.4
563513.8
706724.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557002040801001201401605872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.2
29.429.2
Auto12.9
Teleop24.0
End8.9
red by 17.3
5614
#22
28.40.3
24.023.7
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End6.7
Second
8175
#27
16.40.2
12.111.9
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End4.6
blue by 8.5
24.80.3
23.823.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End11.0
Third
6168
#40
15.90.2
12.011.8
Auto6.7
Teleop4.9
End4.3
red by 2.1
5635
#38
13.80.3
16.416.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned