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Red69
223014.9
565429.4
157436.9
Blue89
571525.9
458625.8
209624.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776220401001206989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#10
36.90.4
29.629.2
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End8.6
red by 11.0
25.91.1
14.916.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End8.9
Second
5654
#18
29.40.4
26.225.8
Auto10.4
Teleop12.3
End6.7
red by 3.6
4586
#31
25.81.1
24.125.2
Auto7.0
Teleop7.6
End11.2
Third
2230
#37
14.90.4
14.614.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.8
End3.0
blue by 10.0
24.91.1
21.422.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned