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Red106
263035.2
307535.7
555423.0
Blue79
565429.4
616815.9
15809.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10647015010679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#12
35.70.9
35.836.7
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End8.7
red by 6.3
5654
#18
29.40.7
29.229.9
Auto10.4
Teleop12.3
End6.7
Second
35.20.9
32.433.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.1
End7.0
red by 19.3
6168
#40
15.90.7
13.113.9
Auto6.7
Teleop4.9
End4.3
Third
5554
#24
23.00.9
24.024.9
Auto6.5
Teleop8.4
End8.0
red by 13.3
1580
#34
9.70.7
9.510.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned