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Red110
223014.9
333945.8
223129.9
Blue129
674020.5
169069.8
474420.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8213550100150200110129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.1
40.440.3
Auto12.9
Teleop24.0
End8.9
blue by 24.1
69.80.6
70.971.5
Auto17.1
Teleop41.4
End11.3
Second
2231
#17
29.90.1
25.625.5
Auto7.8
Teleop17.7
End4.4
red by 9.0
4744
#23
20.90.6
24.425.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End7.5
Third
2230
#37
14.90.1
17.517.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.8
End3.0
blue by 5.6
6740
#25
20.50.6
24.925.4
Auto8.2
Teleop7.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned