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Red55
194314.7
561428.4
595120.8
Blue74
598727.8
209624.9
331628.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66882040801001201401605574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#22
28.40.9
27.226.3
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End6.7
blue by 0.1
3316
#16
28.60.4
29.228.8
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
Second
5951
#28
20.80.9
23.022.1
Auto8.0
Teleop8.1
End4.7
blue by 7.0
27.80.4
26.926.5
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End10.0
Third
1943
#36
14.70.9
14.613.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End5.5
blue by 10.3
24.90.4
23.623.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned